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Dec 18, 2023Liked by Lawrence Krubner

This also explains stagnation in general.

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Do you mean stagnation in foreign policy, or stagnation in all areas of life over which the government has a role?

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Dec 19, 2023Liked by Lawrence Krubner

I mean stagnation in all areas of life, not just politics. The more time you spend going in a single direction the harder it is to change course. It’s like a chronological version of the sunk cost fallacy.

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I see, on the personal level of the State Department official? Yes, that is true. That kind of thinking: I've followed this idea before, therefore I must continue to follow it, even as evidence builds up that this idea is wrong.

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